FNUS71 KLWX 041907 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR NEIGHBOR MOUNTAIN FIRE...RED TEAM - NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 307 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0610 EDT ON JULY 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... POP UP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MORE SHOWERS AND T-STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. AN ISOLATED T-STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA DURING THE WEEKEND...INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND T-STORMS. A LIGHT WIND SHOULD PREVENT WIDESPREAD FOG FROM DEVELOPING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...ANY RAINFALL FROM T-STORMS THIS EVENING WILL INCREASE THE RH VALUES...RESULTING IN PATCHY DENSE FOG IN TRAPPED VALLEYS. HOT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...HAVING A CUMULATIVE EFFECT ON ANYONE OUTDOORS FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8800-10500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........53 54 53 53 53 52 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............73 78 85 90 93 93 RH..............81 74 63 52 43 43 20 FT WIND......W 5 W 5 W 6 NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 20 20 15 CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 20 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CWR.................20 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 17 MPH...DECREASING TO 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........46 33 31 29 27 32 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............91 86 80 77 74 73 RH..............47 59 69 76 82 79 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 4 N 3 N 2 NE 2 NE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 5 5 5 CWR.............20 10 10 10 10 10 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6100-7000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 8 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 18 19 21 22 19 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 76 82 87 90 91 RH..............81 74 63 53 45 42 20 FT WIND......N 1 N 2 N 2 N 2 N 4 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 10 10 CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...LASORSA REQUESTED BY...MARK CLERE FBAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120704.NEIGH.01/LWX