FNUS71 KLWX 040949 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR POINT 2...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 549 AM EDT WED JUL 4 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0545 EDT ON JULY 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY THIS MORNING...THOUGH STAY MAINLY NORTH OF WARREN COUNTY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CROSSES THE REGION. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN TO THE MID- ATLANTIC STATES FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COULD AFFECT THE AREA LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................40 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 10900-11000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........68 58 45 46 62 66 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............71 75 81 86 88 89 RH..............90 82 65 55 54 52 20 FT WIND......SW 5 W 4 W 5 NW 5 W 5 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 CWR.............40 10 10 30 50 50 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................50 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......9600-10500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........69 58 56 55 53 49 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............87 83 79 76 74 73 RH..............55 63 72 79 82 81 20 FT WIND......W 5 NW 4 W 5 W 6 SW 5 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 10 5 CWR.............50 30 30 30 20 20 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................20 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 9400-11000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 9900-11800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 8500 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........45 41 41 41 48 48 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 77 84 89 92 92 RH..............87 82 63 54 47 46 20 FT WIND......W 2 W 2 W 3 NW 4 NW 4 NW 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 10 10 10 CWR.............20 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...JACKSON REQUESTED BY...WALLACE---FBAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120704.POINT.01/LWX