FNUS72 KMFL 041146
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER HAMMOCK...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
746 AM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0805 EDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE PENINSULA TODAY
AND THIS HAS INDUCED A FEW SHOWERS THIS MORNING OVER THE ATLANTIC.
ONE OR TWO OF THESE SHOWERS COULD PASS NEAR THE FIRE SITE THIS
MORNING WITH MORE ROBUST CONVECTION DEVELOPING NEAR THIS LOCATION
BY THE NOON HOUR OR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO THE WEST OF THE FIRE, AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE NEAR THIS LOCATION. MAXIMUM DISPERSION
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD WITH THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS WITH AMPLE TROPICAL MOISTURE IN PLACE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-4800 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52 DECREASING TO 42 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........20     35     56     61     61     61
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY               ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                     ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............83     89     91     91     90     88
RH..............84     68     57     58     61     67
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 6    E 6    E 8    E 8    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   4700   4700   4800   4800   4500
MIXNG WIND......E 10   SE 14  SE 14  E 14   SE 14  SE 14
DISPERSION IDX..49     54     54     43     43     41
LVORI...........3      3      1      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 91 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4700 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....44 INCREASING TO 57 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 43 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...MATT OTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120704.DEERH.02/MFL