FNUS72 KMFL 041919
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER HAMMOCK...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
319 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1450 EDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG SOUTHERN
COLLIER COUNTY AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO SEA
BREEZE INTERACTIONS. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY IS STILL EXPECTED TO STAY WEST
OF THE FIRE SITE. DEEPER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN THE AREA THROUGH THE
EVENING AS A TROPICAL WAVE CONTINUES TO PUSH CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA KEYS.
THIS WILL ALLOW RH VALUES TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........51     51     45     45     45     45
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP............82     78     76     75     74     73
RH..............74     88     94     97     100    100
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 2   E 2    NE 2   NE 2   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   2400   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......SW 2   SW 2   E 2    NE 3   NE 3   NE 3
DISPERSION IDX..1      1      1      2      2      2
LVORI...........5      5      8      10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     40
LAL.............3      3      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 58 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 19 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...MATT OTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120704.DEERH.04/MFL