FNUS72 KMLB 042237
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR COWPEN 24...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
637 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1816 EDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE
BURN SITE THROUGH LATE EVENING WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS DIMINISHING
BY 10 PM. SKIES WILL CLEAR OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND LOW MIXING
HEIGHTS CREATING POOR DISPERSION AND THE RISK OF LOW VISIBILITY IN
A SMOKE FOG MIX SURROUNDING THE FIRE. LOW LEVEL WEST SOUTHWEST TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW TOMORROW AND THE DEVELOPING EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON STORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS EARLY...THEN CLEARING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT SOUTHWEST.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL EARLY DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  CLR
WEATHER COV.....SCT ISO
WEATHER TYPE....SHR SHR
TEMP............83  82  81  81  80  79  78  77  76  76  75  75
RH..............69  71  71  74  74  76  79  82  82  84  87  87
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BY MID DAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.
LVORI...............8 AROUND SUNRISE THEN RAPIDLY IMPROVING BY 9 AM.

$$
FORECASTER...VOLKMER
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120704.COWPE.01/MLB