FNUS74 KMRX 041536
FWSMRX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHACK FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1136 AM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL ALLOW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND AGAIN ON
THURSDAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO TO SEVERE WITH STRONG
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. BY LATE IN THE WEEK...DRY WEATHER
WILL RETURN WITH CLIMBING BACK INTO THE MID 90S TO AROUND 100
DEGREES.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...6900 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..3950 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 8 MPH.
DISPERSION..........33.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...SURFACE-BASED INVERSION DEVELOPING SHORTLY AFTER
                    SUNSET.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..BECOMING 0 AFTER SUNSET.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....BECOMING 0 AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING WINDS........CALM.
DISPERSION..........BECOMING 0.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...8500 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..5550 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....5100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........56.

$$

FORECASTER...DAVID GAFFIN
REQUESTED BY...ANN PIERCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120704.SHACK.01/MRX