FNUS75 KMSO 041716
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR PONY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1116 AM MDT WED JUL 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1052 MDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A VERY STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE HAS ALLOWED
FOR CLEAR SKIES AND DRYING CONDITIONS TO START TODAY. THERE IS
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THIS PATTERN CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND
INTO NEXT WEEK AS WELL. HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE, WITH
TEMPERATURES ON THE INCREASE EACH DAY. TODAY'S ATMOSPHERE SHOULD
PROMOTE STABLE CONDITIONS WITH A DIURNAL BREEZE DEVELOPING THIS
AFTERNOON. TOMORROW THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR
ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS TO BUILD OVER THE RIDGE TOPS
NEAR THE BURN. DEPENDING ON DEVELOPMENT, THIS COULD RAISE RH'S
SLIGHTLY...HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IS LOW TO MODERATE AT THIS TIME
REGARDING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........LOWER ELEV: 15-20 PERCENT.
                    UPPER ELEV: 10-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    10-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........LOWER ELEV: 60-67 PERCENT.
                    UPPER ELEV: 25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6-8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........LOWER ELEV: 16-21 PERCENT.
                    UPPER ELEV:  9-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 2-4 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST AROUND 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...BILL WILKINSON FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120704.PONY_.01/MSO