FNUS71 KRNK 042017
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD LICK 1...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
417 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1547 EDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. A WARM
NIGHT WILL FOLLOW WITH A SIMILAR CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. EXPECTING TEMPS TO WARM ANOTHER 3-5F DEGREES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. GOOD MIXING TOMORROW AND SOME BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH COULD
ALLOW A QUICK FALL IN DEWPOINTS AND RH VALUES FALLING TO 40 PERCENT AT
TIMES LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. ON THE MOUNTAIN TOP...WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
BLOWING FOR MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT...WITH WINDS BECOMING CALM IN THE VALLEYS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 2 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............53     51     50     43     37     35
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
TEMP................87     81     77     74     73     72
RH..................40     57     64     69     71     72
20 FT WIND..........W 4    W 2    W 5    W 5    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     15     15     10     10
CWR.................20     20     20     20     20     20

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
                    TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO 7 TO 13 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............30     29     32     41     53     59
WEATHER COV.........S CHC                       S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............S CHC                       S CHC  CHANCE
TEMP................70     74     79     84     87     89
RH..................77     72     64     56     48     43
20 FT WIND..........W 2    W 2    NW 5   NW 6   NW 5   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      15     20     20     20
CWR.................20     10     10     10     20     30

$$
FORECASTER...MATTAROCHIA
REQUESTED BY...W J  COBER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120704.MUDLI.01/RNK