FNUS75 KSLC 042129
FWSSLC

SPOT FORECAST FOR QUAIL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
329 PM MDT WED JUL 4 2012

.DISCUSSION...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE ITS WAY
NORTHWARD INTO THE FIRE SITE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. AS THIS HAPPENS...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
DEVELOPING THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THE CHANCE BECOMES GREATER
TOMORROW AS A WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE STATE...ADDING
ADDITIONAL INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...THE AIRMASS WILL BE
SIGNIFICANTLY MORE MOIST AT THIS TIME...RESULTING IN THE
POSSIBILITY OF WETTING RAIN. THE MOISTURE PLUME WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY
LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN. NOTE: FOR THIS SPOT FORECAST...I BASED
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY FORECAST ON THE OBSERVATIONS OF SURROUNDING
RAWS...WHICH WERE ALL SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER (8-15 PERCENT WERE THE
RAWS VALUES) THAN IN THE OBSERVATIONS SUBMITTED WITH THE
SPOT (34-36 PERCENT)...WHICH I THINK ARE IN ERROR GIVEN THE CURRENT STATE
OF THE AIRMASS. IF YOU FEEL THE OBS GIVEN WITH THE SPOT ARE MORE
REPRESENTATIVE...LET ME KNOW AND I WILL UPDATE THE SPOT WITH THIS
INFORMATION.

.REST OF TODAY...
  LAL.................1.
  HAINES INDEX........5 ..MODERATE.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-93.
  MIN HUMIDITY........15-17 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...
  LAL.................2.
  HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
                      AREAS OF SMOKE. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                      AND THUNDERSTORMS.
  MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-68.
  MAX HUMIDITY........52-56 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...
  LAL.................2 UNTIL NOON...THEN 4.
  HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT CLOUD COVER)
                      THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT
                      CLOUD COVER). AREAS OF SMOKE. A SLIGHT CHANCE
                      OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF
                      SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-82.
  MIN HUMIDITY........30-34 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-7 MPH.

FORECASTER...TRAPHAGAN
REQUESTED BY...ZIMMERMAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120704.QUAIL.01/SLC

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