FNAK79 PAFG 061533
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK  4...AK DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
733 AM AKDT FRI JUL 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1927 AKDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH STRETCHING FROM DILLINGHAM TO TANANA
TO CIRCLE AND EAST WILL PERSIST INTO SAT AND THEN STRENGTHEN SAT
NIGHT AND SUN. THIS WILL CAUSE SURFACE WINDS TO INCREASE SAT NIGHT
AND SUN ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA. AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS TODAY WILL
BECOME MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND ALLOWING
ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY.
HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MOORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120705.BEARC.02/AFG