FNUS75 KBOU 060103 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGH PARK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 700 PM MDT THU JUL 5 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CONTINUE TO MOISTEN AND COOL THROUGH SUNDAY WITH INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. MOST LOCATIONS SHOULD RECEIVE AT LEAST ONE WETTING RAIN DURING THIS PERIOD. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED STARTING MONDAY...WITH LESS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. STORMS SHOULD STILL BE MAINLY WET DURING THIS TIME...HUMIDITIES WILL BE LOWER BUT NOT VERY DRY...AND WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT EXCEPT FOR THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-63. MAX HUMIDITY........65-75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 2000 FT AGL BY 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-79. MIN HUMIDITY........32-42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 5 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 8800-9800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-56. MAX HUMIDITY........85-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST 5 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1400-2400 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0900...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-70. MIN HUMIDITY........50-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HIGH PARK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/05-18 70 50 26 77 32 S 7 7 2 4 S24 8971 S15 121251 V 07/05-19 70 50 26 75 33 SW 9 10 2 4 S25 6990 S15 91328 G 07/05-20 70 50 26 73 36 W12 18 3 4 S26 5009 SW14 61405 G 07/05-21 70 50 26 69 41 W15 22 3 4 SE28 3029 W13 31482 P 07/05-22 70 50 26 67 46 W15 22 3 4 S26 2350 W15 26735 P 07/05-23 70 50 26 64 51 W14 21 3 4 S24 1672 W17 21989 P 07/06-00 64 16 3 63 56 W13 18 3 3 S23 994 W20 17242 P 07/06-01 64 16 3 61 59 W12 16 3 3 S23 838 W17 13838 P 07/06-02 64 16 3 60 62 W10 13 2 3 S24 683 W16 10433 P 07/06-03 57 16 3 60 63 W 9 13 2 3 S24 527 W15 7028 P 07/06-04 57 16 3 60 64 W 9 13 2 3 S22 634 W14 7905 P 07/06-05 57 16 3 60 65 W10 13 2 3 SW20 740 W13 8783 P 07/06-06 57 18 4 60 65 W10 14 2 3 SW17 847 W13 9660 P 07/06-07 57 18 4 62 61 W 8 9 2 3 SW16 2851 W10 15626 P 07/06-08 57 18 4 66 53 NW 6 7 2 3 SW16 4854 W 7 21591 P 07/06-09 63 18 4 70 46 NW 5 5 2 3 SW15 6858 SW 5 27556 P 07/06-10 63 18 4 73 42 NW 6 6 2 3 SW14 7561 SW 3 23070 P 07/06-11 63 18 4 73 41 NE 7 8 2 3 SW13 8264 SW 2 18583 P 07/06-12 88 62 41 74 40 NE 9 13 2 5 SW12 8967 SW 2 14096 P 07/06-13 88 62 41 75 39 NE 9 14 2 5 S10 9091 CALM 12384 P 07/06-14 88 62 41 75 39 NE10 14 2 5 S10 9215 CALM 10671 P 07/06-15 89 62 41 74 40 NE10 15 2 5 S12 9339 CALM 8959 P 07/06-16 89 62 41 72 42 N 9 13 2 5 S12 8589 SW 2 12963 P 07/06-17 89 62 41 70 46 NW 8 8 2 5 S14 7838 W 2 16967 P 07/06-18 90 50 26 72 43 NW 7 7 2 4 S16 8745 SW 3 28783 P 07/06-19 90 50 26 71 46 NW 7 7 2 4 S20 6657 SW 5 22805 P 07/06-20 90 50 26 67 52 NW 7 7 2 4 S22 4569 NW 5 16828 P 07/06-21 90 50 26 63 60 NW 6 7 2 4 S25 2481 N 6 10850 P 07/06-22 90 50 26 61 65 N 6 6 2 4 S28 1883 NE 6 8718 P 07/06-23 90 50 26 59 68 N 6 6 2 4 S30 1285 NE 7 6586 P 07/07-00 75 50 26 58 71 NE 6 6 2 4 S30 687 NE 8 4454 P 07/07-01 75 50 26 56 76 NE 6 6 2 4 SW29 722 NE 8 4698 P 07/07-02 75 50 26 55 80 E 6 6 2 4 SW26 757 E 8 4942 P 07/07-03 75 40 18 54 85 E 5 5 2 2 SW23 791 E 7 5185 P 07/07-04 75 40 18 53 89 E 6 6 2 2 SW21 838 E 8 5755 P 07/07-05 75 40 18 53 90 SE 6 6 2 2 W16 884 SE 8 6324 P 07/07-06 82 40 18 53 90 SE 6 6 2 2 W14 930 SE 8 6893 P 07/07-07 82 40 18 55 85 SE 6 6 2 2 NW10 1642 SE 9 12878 P 07/07-08 82 40 18 56 80 SE 6 6 2 2 N 8 2353 SE 9 18862 P 07/07-09 82 50 26 59 73 SE 6 6 2 4 N 6 3065 SE 9 24847 P 07/07-10 82 50 26 62 67 SE 6 6 2 4 NE 6 3521 S 9 27932 P 07/07-11 82 50 26 63 63 SE 7 7 2 4 E 7 3977 S 9 31016 P 07/07-12 91 50 26 65 61 SE 7 7 2 4 SE 9 4434 S 9 34100 P 07/07-13 91 50 26 65 59 SE 7 7 2 4 SE10 4975 S 8 35745 P 07/07-14 91 50 26 66 58 SE 7 7 2 4 S13 5516 S 8 37390 P 07/07-15 91 50 26 66 57 SE 7 7 2 4 S14 6058 S 7 39035 P 07/07-16 91 50 26 66 57 SE 6 6 2 4 SW16 5785 S 6 31722 P 07/07-17 91 50 26 66 58 E 5 5 2 4 SW16 5512 S 5 24409 P 07/07-18 91 50 26 65 60 E 3 3 2 4 SW16 5239 S 3 17096 P 07/07-19 91 50 26 64 62 E 3 3 2 4 SW14 4393 S 5 17426 P 07/07-20 91 50 26 62 66 SE 5 5 2 4 W12 3547 S 7 17756 P 07/07-21 91 50 26 59 71 SE 6 6 2 4 W 8 2700 S 8 18086 P 07/07-22 91 50 26 58 75 SE 6 6 2 4 W 8 2274 S 9 16561 P 07/07-23 91 50 26 57 77 SE 6 6 2 4 W 8 1849 S10 15036 P 07/08-00 90 30 9 56 80 SE 5 5 2 2 W 9 1422 S10 13511 P 07/08-01 90 30 9 55 82 S 5 5 2 2 W10 1140 S10 10669 P 07/08-02 90 30 9 54 83 S 6 6 2 2 NW12 858 S10 7827 P 07/08-03 90 30 9 54 85 S 6 6 2 2 NW13 576 S10 4985 P 07/08-04 90 30 9 53 87 S 6 6 2 2 NW13 611 S 9 5131 P 07/08-05 90 30 9 53 88 S 5 5 2 2 NW13 646 S 9 5277 P 07/08-06 82 30 9 53 88 S 5 5 2 2 NW12 682 S 9 5424 P 07/08-07 82 30 9 54 85 S 6 6 2 2 NW10 1680 S 9 11890 P 07/08-08 82 50 26 58 75 SE 6 6 2 4 NW 8 2678 S 8 18357 P 07/08-09 82 50 26 61 68 SE 6 6 2 4 NW 7 3676 S 8 24824 P 07/08-10 82 50 26 64 62 SE 7 7 2 4 NW 5 4543 S 6 20694 P 07/08-11 82 50 26 66 58 SE 7 7 2 4 NW 3 5410 SE 3 16564 P 07/08-12 91 50 26 67 56 E 7 7 2 4 NW 2 6277 SE 2 12434 P 07/08-13 91 50 26 68 54 E 7 7 2 4 CALM 6562 SE 2 16816 P 07/08-14 91 50 26 68 53 E 7 7 2 4 CALM 6847 E 3 21198 P 07/08-15 91 50 26 69 53 E 7 7 2 4 NE 2 7132 E 5 25580 P 07/08-16 91 50 26 69 53 E 7 7 2 4 NE 2 6934 E 5 30247 P 07/08-17 91 50 26 68 54 E 7 7 2 4 NE 3 6736 E 6 34915 P 07/08-18 90 39 17 67 56 E 7 7 2 4 NE 5 6538 E 7 39583 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...SCOTT MOLINARI REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120705.HIGHP.01/BOU