FNUS75 KBOU 052324 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP MOUNTAIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 514 PM MDT THU JUL 5 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE PUSHING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF GRAND COUNTY THROUGH LATE EVENING. THIS INCLUDES THE SHEEP MOUNTAIN WILDFIRE. THERE IS A CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS ON THE FIRE DUE TO THESE STORMS...BUT THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF MORE LIGHTNING STRIKES. FAIRLY STRONG GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...UP TO 35 MPH IN SPEED...WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THE STORMS. THE INCREASED MOISTURE AS OF LATE WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY AND ON INTO THE WEEKEND. WETTING RAINS WILL BE A GOOD BET OVER THE WILDFIRE FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50. MAX HUMIDITY........85-95%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 1800...THEN WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200-8800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-74. MIN HUMIDITY........35-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8000-9000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0900...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69. MIN HUMIDITY........50-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 5800-6800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHEEP MOUNTAIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/05-17 83 42 19 74 34 SW 8 8 2 4 S24 8793 SE10 79311 G 07/05-18 84 39 17 73 37 S 8 8 2 4 SE21 8140 SE 9 63625 G 07/05-19 84 39 17 70 41 SW 7 7 2 4 S21 7192 S 8 49790 F 07/05-20 84 39 17 68 46 SW 6 6 2 4 S21 6245 SW 6 35956 P 07/05-21 84 39 17 65 51 SW 5 5 2 4 S21 5297 W 5 22121 P 07/05-22 84 39 17 62 58 SW 5 5 2 4 S22 4403 W 7 22827 P 07/05-23 84 39 17 59 65 SW 6 6 2 4 S23 3508 W 9 23533 P 07/06-00 73 17 3 57 69 SW 7 7 2 3 S23 2613 W10 24239 P 07/06-01 73 17 3 56 73 S 7 7 2 3 S22 2089 W 9 18027 P 07/06-02 73 17 3 54 76 S 6 6 2 3 S22 1565 W 8 11814 P 07/06-03 62 17 3 52 80 S 5 5 2 3 S21 1041 W 6 5601 P 07/06-04 62 17 3 51 83 S 3 3 2 3 S20 857 W 6 4346 P 07/06-05 62 17 3 49 89 S 3 3 2 3 S18 672 SW 5 3091 P 07/06-06 62 18 4 49 90 SW 3 3 2 3 S18 488 SW 5 1836 P 07/06-07 62 18 4 50 86 SW 3 3 2 3 S18 1822 SW 5 7946 P 07/06-08 62 18 4 54 75 W 5 5 2 3 S20 3156 W 5 14055 P 07/06-09 62 18 4 60 61 W 5 5 2 3 S18 4490 W 5 20165 P 07/06-10 62 18 4 65 53 W 5 5 2 3 S17 5930 SW 5 21816 P 07/06-11 62 18 4 69 48 W 6 6 2 3 S15 7370 S 3 23468 P 07/06-12 86 43 20 72 45 W 6 6 2 4 S13 8811 S 3 25120 P 07/06-13 86 43 20 73 43 NW 7 7 2 4 S13 8935 S 3 27486 P 07/06-14 86 43 20 72 44 NW 7 7 2 4 S14 9060 SE 3 29852 P 07/06-15 88 43 20 72 44 N 7 7 2 4 S14 9185 SE 5 32219 P 07/06-16 88 43 20 70 47 NW 6 6 2 4 S14 8478 SE 3 27821 P 07/06-17 88 43 20 70 48 NW 3 3 2 4 S14 7770 SE 3 23424 P 07/06-18 90 30 9 70 47 NW 2 2 2 4 S15 8357 SE 5 30598 P 07/06-19 90 30 9 68 50 N 2 2 2 4 S20 6843 SE 5 25974 P 07/06-20 90 30 9 64 56 N 2 2 2 4 S23 5330 E 5 21349 P 07/06-21 90 30 9 60 64 NE 2 2 2 4 S25 3817 E 5 16725 P 07/06-22 90 30 9 57 70 NE 2 2 2 4 S26 2664 E 6 11827 P 07/06-23 90 30 9 56 73 E 3 3 2 4 S25 1512 E 6 6929 P 07/07-00 74 30 9 54 77 E 5 5 2 4 S24 360 E 7 2030 P 07/07-01 74 30 9 53 81 E 6 6 2 4 S23 347 E 7 2226 P 07/07-02 74 30 9 51 84 E 7 7 2 4 SW22 334 E 8 2422 P 07/07-03 74 20 4 50 88 E 8 8 2 3 SW21 321 E 9 2617 P 07/07-04 74 20 4 49 92 E 8 8 2 3 SW18 313 E 9 2456 P 07/07-05 74 20 4 49 92 E 7 7 2 3 SW17 305 E 9 2295 P 07/07-06 64 20 4 49 93 E 7 7 2 3 SW15 297 E 8 2133 P 07/07-07 64 20 4 51 87 E 8 8 2 3 SW14 1041 E 9 9092 P 07/07-08 64 20 4 54 81 E 9 9 2 3 SW13 1784 E 9 16051 P 07/07-09 64 30 9 57 72 E10 10 2 4 SW12 2528 SE10 23011 P 07/07-10 64 30 9 60 64 E10 10 2 4 SW10 3778 SE10 30703 P 07/07-11 64 30 9 63 59 SE 8 8 2 4 SW 9 5028 S 9 38396 P 07/07-12 90 30 9 64 56 SE 7 7 2 4 SW 8 6278 S 8 46089 F 07/07-13 90 30 9 65 54 SE 5 5 2 4 SW 8 6543 S 8 43973 F 07/07-14 90 30 9 66 52 E 3 3 2 4 SW10 6807 S 7 41857 F 07/07-15 90 30 9 66 52 E 2 2 2 4 SW12 7072 S 7 39741 P 07/07-16 90 30 9 66 53 E 3 3 2 4 SW12 6811 S 6 37245 P 07/07-17 90 30 9 66 56 E 5 5 2 4 W13 6551 S 6 34748 P 07/07-18 91 30 9 65 59 E 7 7 2 4 W13 6290 S 6 32252 P 07/07-19 91 30 9 63 61 E 8 8 2 4 W13 4855 S 8 28129 P 07/07-20 91 30 9 61 66 E 8 8 2 4 W14 3420 SE 9 24005 P 07/07-21 91 30 9 57 73 E 8 8 2 4 W14 1985 SE12 19882 P 07/07-22 91 30 9 55 78 E 8 8 2 4 NW14 1509 SE10 14690 P 07/07-23 91 30 9 54 81 SE 7 7 2 4 NW14 1033 SE 9 9497 P 07/08-00 82 20 4 53 85 SE 6 6 2 3 NW14 558 SE 9 4305 P 07/08-01 82 20 4 52 86 SE 6 6 2 3 NW13 461 SE 8 3300 P 07/08-02 82 20 4 51 87 SE 5 5 2 3 NW13 364 SE 7 2295 P 07/08-03 82 20 4 50 89 SE 5 5 2 3 NW13 267 SE 6 1290 P 07/08-04 82 20 4 49 90 SE 5 5 2 3 NW13 263 SE 6 1224 P 07/08-05 82 20 4 49 90 SE 5 5 2 3 NW13 260 SE 5 1157 P 07/08-06 82 20 4 49 90 SE 5 5 2 3 NW13 256 SE 5 1091 P 07/08-07 82 20 4 51 86 E 3 3 2 3 NW13 1652 S 5 5097 P 07/08-08 82 30 9 55 74 E 2 2 2 4 NW13 3048 SW 3 9104 P 07/08-09 82 30 9 59 65 CALM 1 2 4 NW12 4444 W 3 13110 P 07/08-10 82 30 9 63 59 CALM 0 2 4 NW10 5411 W 5 22190 P 07/08-11 82 30 9 66 54 CALM 0 2 4 N 9 6378 NW 6 31270 P 07/08-12 90 30 9 67 52 CALM 1 2 4 N 9 7345 NW 6 40350 F 07/08-13 90 30 9 68 51 N 2 2 2 4 N 9 7648 NW 6 38993 P 07/08-14 90 30 9 69 49 NE 5 5 2 4 N 9 7951 N 6 37636 P 07/08-15 90 30 9 69 49 E 7 7 2 4 N 9 8254 N 5 36279 P 07/08-16 90 30 9 70 48 E 8 8 2 4 N10 8063 NE 5 35841 P 07/08-17 90 30 9 69 50 E10 10 2 4 N12 7873 NE 5 35402 P 07/08-18 87 20 4 68 52 E10 10 2 3 N13 7682 NE 6 34964 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SHERIFF ROD JOHNSON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120705.SHEEP.01/BOU