FNUS73 KDLH 051850
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR MERRITT LAKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
150 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1254 CDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL
BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE WILDFIRE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER
A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ARROWHEAD REGION BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND INTO FRIDAY EVENING...WHICH COULD IMPACT THE
WILDFIRE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (90000).

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
TEMP............83  84  85  86  86  85
RH..............38  34  31  31  30  31
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..8   10  10  10  9   8
20 FT WIND GUST.14  16  16  16  15  14

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    3 MPH...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (60000) DECREASING TO POOR (1400) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............83     74     69     66     63     63
RH..............34     46     57     68     70     70
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      NW     N
20 FT WIND SPD..9      5      3      3      3      2
20 FT WIND GUST.13     6

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 4 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13200) INCREASING TO GOOD (53700) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (51200)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............64     70     74     72     70     69
RH..............70     59     53     55     59     61
20 FT WIND DIR..N      N      N      N      NW     W
20 FT WIND SPD..2      2      3      4      3      3
20 FT WIND GUST.                     5

$$
FORECASTER...ROMAN
REQUESTED BY...MARK HALE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120705.MERRI.01/DLH