FNUS73 KLSX 052312
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOW GAP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
612 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1745 CDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS EVENING
OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY TONIGHT WITH A LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.

HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHS BETWEEN
100 AND 105.  HEAT INDEX VALUES IN EXCESS OF 105 ARE EXPECTED.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON...
PRIMARILY SOUTHEAST OF THE FIRE...HOWEVER OUTFLOW FROM STORMS
COULD MAKE THE WIND DIRECTION ERRATIC.  THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF
STORMS CONTINUES FRIDAY EVENING.

SATURDAY'S FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO FRIDAY.  HOT WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE.  THERE IS SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A BETTER CHANCE
FOR WETTING RAIN IS FORECAST FOR LATER THIS WEEKEND AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.  THE FRONT WILL BE IN THE VICINITY
OF THE FIRE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND THERE IS A 40 PERCENT
CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE DAY.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1300...THEN 1-8 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 103.
RH..................MIN 23 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 3 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (4713 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 74.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

$$

FORECASTER...CARNEY
REQUESTED BY...STEWART TURNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120705.LOWGA.01/LSX