FNUS71 KLWX 051920 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR NEIGHBOR MOUNTAIN FIRE...RED TEAM - NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 320 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0609 EDT ON JULY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...BUT MOST OF THE TIME WILL BE DRY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY T-STORMS WILL BE THIS EVENING. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE IN TRAPPED VALLEYS...BUT A GRADIENT WIND SHOULD PREVENT WIDESPREAD FOG FROM DEVELOPING. UPPER-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THE INTENSE HEAT WILL HAVE A CUMULATIVE EFFECT ON ANYONE OUTDOORS DURING THIS TIME. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BUT MOST AREAS WILL BE DRY. THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING NORTH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH...DECREASING TO 3 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........57 51 49 50 50 44 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............92 87 82 79 77 75 RH..............46 57 65 67 71 74 20 FT WIND......NW 5 NW 3 NW 3 N 3 N 3 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 10 10 5 CWR.............20 30 30 30 20 20 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7500-9300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING AROUND 8 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........35 29 32 37 41 50 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............75 80 85 90 93 94 RH..............76 69 61 50 44 43 20 FT WIND......N 2 NW 2 N 3 N 3 N 3 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 20 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN EVENING T-STORM. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CWR.................20 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 7 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........52 51 42 32 23 18 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............92 88 86 83 80 78 RH..............47 57 61 67 72 76 20 FT WIND......NW 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.............20 10 10 10 0 0 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8900-10100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........12 7 12 17 23 27 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 83 88 92 94 95 RH..............79 63 57 52 46 43 20 FT WIND......W 2 W 2 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...LASORSA REQUESTED BY...MARK CLERE FBAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120705.NEIGH.01/LWX