FNUS72 KMHX 051300
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAUM POINT FIRE...NC FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
900 AM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0838 EDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INLAND AND HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A SOUTHWEST FLOW OF HOT AND HUMID AIR ACROSS
NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL
SETTLE OVER OR NEAR THE AREA EARLY TO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF UNSETTLED WEATHER.

WINDS WILL BE WEST 10 MPH THIS MORNING BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 3 PM.
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS AROUND 5 PM AND WILL CONTINUE AT THESE SPEEDS MOST OF
TONIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME WEST AND DIMINISH TO 5 TO 10 MPH
AFTER 5AM. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE 90S WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS AROUND 80. ALTHOUGH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORM IS IN THE
FORECAST WE ARE NOT EXPECTING MUCH ACTIVITY TODAY OR TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 GUSTING TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............35     32     30     35     35
WEATHER COV.........                     S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                     S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................83     88     91     93     93
RH..................80     66     62     60     60
20 FT WIND..........W 10   W 10   S 9   SW 10  SW 15
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     20     25

$$
FORECASTER...ELARDO
REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120705.BAUMP.01/MHX