FNUS72 KMLB 051303 CCA
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASTOR PARK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
902 AM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 EDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT WIND PROFILE WILL RESULT IN FAIR DISPERSION
VALUES. SCATTERED MID TO LATE AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STORMS IN THE
VICINITY WILL PUSH GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTH LAKE COUNTY.

UPDATED FIRE WEATHER FORECAST PRODUCT FOR TONIGHT DUE TO HIGHER
LVORI VALUES...LIGHTER TRANSPORT WINDS AND HIGHER RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES.

CORRECTED DISCUSSION

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....            SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....            TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............77  81  85  86  88  90  90  89  89  88  86  84
RH..............90  82  72  63  59  55  52  52  50  55  59  63
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD..3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5

.TONIGHT...

MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............8.

.FRIDAY...

CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WIMMER
REQUESTED BY...MARK PLOSKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120705.ASTOR.01/MLB