FNUS75 KRIW 061006
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CUB...WY-BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
406 AM MDT FRI JUL 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1842 MDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT MORE SUNSHINE TODAY. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
MOISTURE FOR CLOUDS TO FORM BY NOON AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS WILL FORM OVER NORTHWEST WYOMING
AND MOVE TO THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GUSTY WIND AND
LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. RAINFALL WILL BE LESS THAN
ONE QUARTER INCH /0.25/. DECREASING CLOUDS LATE TONIGHT. SATURDAY
LOOKS VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXPECTED WEATHER.
LOOK FOR AFTERNOON CLOUD DEVELOPMENT WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS
DEVELOPING OVER NORTHWEST WYOMING ONCE AGAIN AND IMPACTING
THE FIRE AT TIMES THROUGH SUNSET SATURDAY EVENING.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MORNING SUNSHINE.
                    THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY OR EAST TO NORTHEAST AT
                    5 TO 10 MPH.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS TO 30 MPH
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1500.
                    WIND BECOMING WEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER
                    1500...MAINLY DUE TO OUTFLOW WIND FROM
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN LAL 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7500-8500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1300.
                    WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1300.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING FAIR BY 1100...THEN BECOMING GOOD
                    BY 1500.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 4 TO 8 MPH BY 2100.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 30 MPH EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH BY 2100.

LAL.................2 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THAN LAL 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH BY 2100.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR AT SUNSET...THEN POOR BY MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MORNING SUNSHINE.  THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY OR EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 30 MPH EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1500.
                    THEN WEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 1500...MAINLY DUE
                    TO OUTFLOW WIND FROM NEARBY THUNDERSTORMS.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.7 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000-10000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1400.
                    WEST AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 1400.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING FAIR BY 1200...THEN BECOMING GOOD
                    BY 1500.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...TOBIN KELLY
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120705.BEARC.02/RIW