FNUS75 KRIW 061029
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CUB...USFS BTF...RETRANSMITTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
709 PM MDT THU JUL 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1842 MDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO END BY AROUND 9
PM. NO LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY AT THIS TIME.
ALTHOUGH NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH ABOUT 9 PM. OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WINDS ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE WILL BE LIGHT. THUS...MAINLY
LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS ARE EXPECTED. ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...BUT WIDESPREAD RAIN LIKE WHAT OCCURRED TODAY WILL NOT
OCCUR.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN THROUGH
                    9 PM...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    THROUGH MIDNIGHT. BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY BETWEEN
                    MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 5-10 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    3-6 MPH BY 10 PM.
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....VARIABLE 5-10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH
                    BY AROUND 9 PM.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.80 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE 5-10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH
                    BY AROUND 9 PM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13700 KNOT-FT).

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-7 MPH...BUT WILL BE
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO FAIR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...TOBIN KELLY
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120705.BEARC.02/RIW