FNUS73 KUNR 052107
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WHITE DRAW...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
307 PM MDT THU JUL 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1430 MDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING
BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS TO THE FIRE AREA. BEST
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE FROM 6PM THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
CURRENTLY...THERE ARE STORMS THAT HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING...AND IF THEY HOLD
TOGETHER...THEY COULD REACH THE FIRE AREA IN 2 TO 4 HOURS. STORM
DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE FIRE AREA COULD HAPPEN AT ANY TIME. BEST
ESTIMATES FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...A QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH...MORE
IF A CELL GOES DIRECTLY OVER THE FIRE AREA. SHOWERS AND STORMS
WILL DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH MAINLY DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 TO 7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...SR
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN JENKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120705.WHITE.01/UNR