FNUS71 KCTP 051850 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR MFLP UNIT 3...PA AIR NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 250 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON JULY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION WILL BRING HOT AND DRY WEATHER TO MOST OF THE REGION TODAY AND FRIDAY...WITH NO MORE THAN AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THE NEXT TWO DAYS. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 2300...THEN NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-6500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH...DECREASING TO 3 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............43 47 38 26 16 16 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE S CHC TEMP................94 90 83 78 76 73 RH..................41 47 57 65 69 76 20 FT WIND..........NW 6 N 5 N 2 NE 2 E 5 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........6500 4700 1600 BLW100 400 200 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 16 NW 13 NW 7 NW 5 N 6 N 5 LAL.................3 3 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9200-9500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 1 TO 6 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............15 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 30 30 30 30 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................74 75 77 81 85 89 92 94 95 95 96 95 RH..................77 74 69 61 53 46 43 40 39 38 37 37 20 FT WIND DIR......NE N N NW NW NW NW W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.4 1.0 2.7 4.7 6.5 7.3 7.8 8.1 8.9 9.5 9.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW W SW W NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....2 1 2 6 12 15 15 14 12 13 14 15 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/GARTNER REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120706.MFLPU.01/CTP