FNUS75 KGJT 062105
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SLAVONIA...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
305 PM MDT FRI JUL 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1423 MDT ON JULY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MONSOONAL PLUME OF MOISTURE WITH WEAK EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES WILL STREAM
OVER THE SLAVONIA WILDFIRE TODAY AND WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY.
ANOTHE THUNDERSTORM CELL IN SOUTHERN ROUTT COUNTY WILL TRACK NORTH AND
MAY IMPACT THE WILDFIRE SITE BETWEEN 1530 AND 1630 TODAY.  AFTER THIS
STORM PASSES...THE AIR MASS WILL STABILIZE WITH RISING HUMIDITY.  MORE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AS THE AIR MASS
REMAINS MOIST AND UNSTABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINTIY
                    BETWEEN 1530 AND 1630.  SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS
                    IN THE VICINITY FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.  BECOMING GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WITH APPROACHING THUNDERSTORM FROM THE SOUTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...DECREASING AFTER 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR AFTER 2400.  (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 17 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PAUL FRISBIE
REQUESTED BY...IC  WEST
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120706.SLAVO.01/GJT