FNUS74 KLZK 061401 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR BEE RIDGE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 901 AM CDT FRI JUL 6 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0844 CDT ON JULY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE WILDFIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN AT VERY HIGH LEVELS INTO THIS WEEKEND AS HOT TEMPS AROUND 100 AND LOW MIN RH VALUES OF 15 TO 30 PERCENT PERSIST EACH AFTERNOON. VERY DRY FINE FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS CONTINUE AS A RESULT OF THE EXPANDING AND WORSENING DROUGHT...AND WHILE WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA EACH DAY...THE WILDFIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN VERY HIGH TO EXTREME UNTIL SOME WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OCCURS. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...MAINLY LESS THAN 5 MPH IN MOST LOCATIONS. HOWEVER...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS...WINDS COULD SHIFT AND INCREASE IN INTENSITY IN AND AROUND THIS PRECIP ACTIVITY AS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MOVE OUT FROM THESE STORMS. THIS COULD INCREASE WINDS SPEEDS SIGNIFICANTLY IN SOME LOCATIONS...BUT LIMITED TO NEAR THESE THUNDERSTORMS. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT CHANCES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........85 AT REQUEST...MAX 101. RH..................56 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 26 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 8700 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 4 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 88 92 95 98 99 99 99 99 98 RH..............56 50 44 39 35 31 29 27 29 32 20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE E E E SE SE S SW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.7 4 4 4 1 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N NE E E E SE SE S SW EYE LVL WND SPD.4 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.4 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE S TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 72. RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6000 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TEMP............97 95 91 87 84 82 81 79 78 77 76 75 RH..............32 36 40 45 49 51 53 55 58 62 65 68 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W NW NW N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW W W W NW NW N N N N N EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 98. RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 1 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............75 76 79 84 88 91 93 95 96 96 96 96 RH..............71 71 59 52 46 43 40 38 37 37 37 38 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE E E E NE NE N 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N NE NE E E E NE NE N EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N NE N NW NW W TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 6 8 10 12 10 9 7 3 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...62 REQUESTED BY...C HIGHFILL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120706.BEERI.01/LZK