FNUS74 KMAF 062011
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE CANYON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
311 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1350 MDT ON JULY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM MDT...
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE BURN AREA
RESULTING IN ANOTHER QUARTER TO HALF INCH OF RAINFALL THROUGH THIS
EVENING. GENERAL SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 5 TO 15 MPH WILL
PREVAIL BEFORE WINDS BECOME TERRAIN DOMINATED OVERNIGHT. RECOVERY
TONIGHT WILL BE GOOD TO EXCELLENT. ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS TOMORROW AFTERNOON WHILE SOUTHEAST WINDS OF
10 TO 15 MPH PREVAIL. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH/S WILL STAY NEAR OR
ABOVE 20 PERCENT.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (109000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (300 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................3.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE       CHANCE       CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM       TSTORM       TSTORM
CHC PCPN (%)....50           50           50
TEMP............79           71           66
RH..............45           58           68
20 FT WIND DIR..SE           SE           E
20 FT WIND SPD..11           8            3
20 FT WIND GUST.                          5
MIX HGT (FT)....7000         500          BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..SE           SE           SE
TRANS WIND SPD..15           6            5
VENT CAT........VYGOOD       POOR         POOR
LAL.............3            3            3
HAINES INDEX....2            2            2

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING EAST 8
                    TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (37000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (111300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD       ISOLTD       S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM       TSTORM       TSTORM
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           20
TEMP............62           73           87
RH..............76           47           26
20 FT WIND DIR..NE           E            E
20 FT WIND SPD..3            12           17
20 FT WIND GUST.5                         20
MIX HGT (FT)....500          7000         10000
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           SE           SE
TRANS WIND SPD..3            6            12
VENT CAT........POOR         FAIR         VYGOOD
LAL.............2            2            2
HAINES INDEX....2            2            2

$$

FORECASTER...LYSTER
REQUESTED BY...NM-LNF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120706.HORSE.01/MAF