FNUS74 KBMX 071241 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR FALL CITY BURNOUT UPDATE...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 741 AM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0726 CDT ON JULY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AN ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE ACROSS WINSTON COUNTY THIS MORNING...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL BE STRONG WINDS AND OF COURSE LIGHTNING. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK...PRIMARILY ACROSS THE NORTH...AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS SET TO STALL OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4500-6200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 5500-6600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 2700-4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 38 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 29. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............74 83 90 95 98 98 RH..............93 79 61 49 42 40 20 FT WIND......NW 1 W 1 W 2 SW 2 SW 3 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.<5 <5 5 5 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....400 4500 6600 6300 4600 2900 TRANSPORT WIND..000/2 040/2 090/3 190/8 210/12 220/13 DISPERSION......1 13 25 40 30 29 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1500 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....31 DECREASING TO 3. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............96 88 81 78 76 74 RH..............44 55 69 78 82 88 20 FT WIND......S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 SW 2 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 2700 500 300 400 300 TRANSPORT WIND..220/9 220/8 200/8 200/6 200/5 200/5 DISPERSION......31 4 4 3 2 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500-8700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 21 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 38 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 55 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 63 DECREASING TO 32 IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............73 78 86 91 94 94 RH..............93 82 66 54 49 47 20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 2 SW 3 SW 5 SW 5 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....200 2100 5600 7400 8400 8700 TRANSPORT WIND..230/7 240/8 230/8 210/8 200/8 200/9 DISPERSION......2 21 51 63 29 34 $$ FORECASTER...TGOGGINS REQUESTED BY...NIKKA JEFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120707.FALLC.01/BMX