FNUS75 KBOU 071334 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL GULCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 724 AM MDT SAT JUL 7 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MOIST AND WEAK SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOLER THROUGH THE DAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING IN COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THEN TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. SINCE THE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING THEY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME...GENERALLY 0.50 TO 1.0 INCHES IN LESS THAN ONE HOUR. AS A RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE THE FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-73. MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST/SOUTHWEST 4-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST AROUND 5-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 5200-6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-58. MAX HUMIDITY........85-88%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 0-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200 THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-71. MIN HUMIDITY........52-54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 0-4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 4800-5800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MILL GULCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/07-07 92 40 18 56 88 CALM 1 2 2 S20 2605 NE 5 9895 P 07/07-08 92 40 18 61 75 SE 2 2 2 2 S16 3798 E 5 12942 P 07/07-09 92 40 18 66 63 SE 2 2 2 2 S14 4991 SE 3 15989 P 07/07-10 92 40 18 70 56 E 2 2 2 2 S13 5816 SE 5 27713 P 07/07-11 92 40 18 72 53 E 3 3 2 2 S13 6640 S 7 39438 P 07/07-12 93 60 38 73 53 E 3 3 2 5 S13 7464 S 8 51162 F 07/07-13 93 60 38 73 53 E 3 3 2 5 S15 6831 S 9 53285 F 07/07-14 93 60 38 72 55 E 5 5 2 5 S16 6197 S10 55408 F 07/07-15 93 60 38 71 57 E 5 5 2 5 S18 5563 S12 57531 F 07/07-16 93 60 38 70 60 E 5 5 2 5 SW20 5105 S10 48379 F 07/07-17 93 60 38 69 62 NE 5 5 2 5 SW21 4646 SE 9 39227 P 07/07-18 90 59 36 68 63 NE 5 5 2 5 SW22 4187 SE 8 30075 P 07/07-19 90 59 36 67 65 NE 5 5 2 5 SW22 3331 E 7 22418 P 07/07-20 90 59 36 65 70 N 6 6 2 5 SW23 2475 NE 6 14761 P 07/07-21 90 59 36 64 73 N 6 6 2 5 SW24 1619 N 5 7104 P 07/07-22 90 59 36 62 76 N 6 6 2 5 SW26 1216 N 5 5087 P 07/07-23 90 59 36 62 78 N 5 5 2 5 SW28 814 N 3 3070 P 07/08-00 94 62 41 61 79 N 5 5 2 3 SW29 411 N 3 1053 P 07/08-01 94 62 41 61 81 N 5 5 2 3 SW26 382 NE 2 715 P 07/08-02 94 62 41 60 84 N 3 3 2 3 W22 352 CALM 378 P 07/08-03 94 62 41 59 85 N 3 3 2 3 W17 323 CALM 40 P 07/08-04 94 62 41 59 84 NE 3 3 2 3 W15 341 CALM 454 P 07/08-05 94 62 41 58 82 NE 3 3 2 3 W12 360 E 2 868 P 07/08-06 83 41 18 58 79 E 5 5 2 4 W 9 379 NE 3 1282 P 07/08-07 83 41 18 60 75 E 6 6 2 4 W 7 1002 NE 2 1077 P 07/08-08 83 41 18 62 70 E 7 7 2 4 W 6 1626 CALM 873 P 07/08-09 83 55 30 64 65 SE 8 13 2 4 NW 5 2249 CALM 668 P 07/08-10 83 55 30 66 61 SE 8 13 2 4 NW 6 3392 CALM 6550 P 07/08-11 83 55 30 68 59 E 7 7 2 4 NW 8 4535 NW 2 12432 P 07/08-12 86 54 29 69 57 E 7 7 2 4 NW 9 5678 N 3 18315 P 07/08-13 86 54 29 70 56 E 7 7 2 4 NW10 5707 N 3 15377 P 07/08-14 86 54 29 70 55 NE 7 7 2 4 NW12 5737 NW 2 12440 P 07/08-15 86 54 29 70 54 NE 7 7 2 4 NW13 5766 NW 2 9502 P 07/08-16 86 54 29 70 54 NE 8 8 2 4 NW13 5688 CALM 7680 P 07/08-17 86 54 29 70 56 NE 8 13 2 4 NW13 5609 CALM 5857 P 07/08-18 87 66 47 69 57 NE 8 13 2 5 NW13 5531 CALM 4034 P 07/08-19 87 66 47 68 59 E 7 7 2 5 NW13 4695 CALM 4907 P 07/08-20 87 66 47 66 63 E 6 6 2 5 NW13 3859 SE 2 5779 P 07/08-21 87 66 47 64 68 E 3 3 2 5 NW13 3023 S 2 6652 P 07/08-22 87 66 47 62 72 E 3 3 2 5 NW16 2867 S 3 7894 P 07/08-23 87 66 47 61 73 E 5 5 2 5 NW16 2422 SE 3 7122 P 07/09-00 88 30 9 60 76 E 6 6 2 4 NW15 1978 SE 3 6351 P 07/09-01 88 30 9 60 77 E 5 5 2 4 NW14 1877 SE 3 5022 P 07/09-02 88 30 9 59 78 NE 3 3 2 4 NW14 1776 SE 2 3692 P 07/09-03 88 30 9 58 79 NE 2 2 2 4 N13 1676 CALM 2363 P 07/09-04 88 30 9 57 81 CALM 1 2 4 N13 1765 CALM 2498 P 07/09-05 88 30 9 57 80 CALM 1 2 4 N14 1854 CALM 2633 P 07/09-06 72 22 4 57 80 CALM 1 2 3 N14 1943 CALM 2768 P 07/09-07 72 22 4 59 77 CALM 1 2 3 N14 2798 SW 2 6330 P 07/09-08 72 22 4 62 69 CALM 1 2 3 N14 3652 NW 2 9892 P 07/09-09 72 22 4 65 63 N 2 2 2 3 N13 4507 N 3 13454 P 07/09-10 72 22 4 67 58 N 3 3 2 3 N12 5201 N 6 26058 P 07/09-11 72 22 4 69 55 N 6 6 2 3 N10 5894 N 7 38662 P 07/09-12 73 38 16 70 54 NE 8 13 2 4 N10 6588 N 9 51266 F 07/09-13 73 38 16 71 52 NE10 16 2 4 N12 6737 N10 58590 F 07/09-14 73 38 16 71 50 NE12 20 2 4 N13 6886 N12 65915 G 07/09-15 73 38 16 72 49 NE13 21 2 4 N15 7035 N12 73239 G 07/09-16 73 38 16 72 48 NE12 18 2 4 N16 7037 N12 68644 G 07/09-17 73 38 16 71 49 NE10 16 2 4 N17 7038 N10 64049 G 07/09-18 72 37 15 71 50 NE 8 13 2 4 N17 7040 N 9 59454 F 07/09-19 72 37 15 69 52 NE 7 7 2 4 N17 5955 N 8 44712 F 07/09-20 72 37 15 67 56 NE 6 6 2 4 N16 4871 N 6 29970 P 07/09-21 72 37 15 64 62 NE 5 5 2 4 N15 3787 N 5 15227 P 07/09-22 72 37 15 62 67 N 3 3 2 4 N14 3207 N 3 11311 P 07/09-23 72 37 15 61 70 NW 3 3 2 4 N13 2628 NW 2 7394 P 07/10-00 59 20 4 60 73 W 3 3 2 3 N13 2048 NW 2 3477 P 07/10-01 59 20 4 58 75 W 3 3 2 3 N14 1751 NW 2 3015 P 07/10-02 59 20 4 58 76 W 5 5 2 3 NW15 1453 W 2 2552 P 07/10-03 59 20 4 57 78 W 5 5 2 3 NW16 1156 W 2 2089 P 07/10-04 59 20 4 56 79 W 5 5 2 3 NW17 1267 W 2 1880 P 07/10-05 59 20 4 56 79 NW 5 5 2 3 NW18 1379 CALM 1671 P 07/10-06 51 10 2 56 78 NW 5 5 2 1 NW18 1491 CALM 1461 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120707.MILLG.01/BOU