FNUS71 KLWX 071851 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR NEIGHBOR MOUNTAIN FIRE...RED TEAM - NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 251 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0615 EDT ON JULY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND T-STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY WILL BUILD TOWARD THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT MOST OF IT SHOULD STAY TO THE NORTH. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN TRAPPED VALLEYS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH SUNDAY. MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL TO OUR SOUTH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL RIDE ALONG THE FRONT MONDAY AND TUESDAY...POSSIBLY BRINGING MORE PRECIPITATION. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........39 32 29 32 34 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............94 88 84 81 79 77 RH..............38 54 63 69 74 76 20 FT WIND......W 4 W 4 W 4 W 4 W 4 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6600-8300 FT AGL BY THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........35 35 48 53 55 67 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............77 79 85 88 91 91 RH..............74 74 65 59 52 50 20 FT WIND......NW 4 NW 2 N 3 N 3 N 3 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 10 10 10 15 CWR.............10 10 10 40 40 60 .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................70 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........78 73 73 86 86 77 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............88 83 78 75 72 71 RH..............55 67 76 82 87 90 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 5 NE 5 NE 4 NE 3 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 5 5 CWR.............70 50 40 40 30 30 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78. MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........77 77 77 76 75 75 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............70 70 73 76 77 77 RH..............90 90 79 69 64 67 20 FT WIND......NE 3 NE 4 NE 4 NE 5 NE 5 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 5 CWR.............10 10 20 20 40 40 $$ FORECASTER...LASORSA REQUESTED BY...MARK CLERE FBAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120707.NEIGH.01/LWX