FNUS74 KLZK 072157 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR CADDO MOUNTAIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 457 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1600 CDT ON JULY 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON...TSTMS HAVE MAINLY AFFECTED NWRN AR. HOWEVER... STORMS ARE STARTING TO BUILD TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST. EXPECT STORMS TO BUILD IN VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS OR SO. PRECIP CHANCES ARE STILL AROUND 40 PERCENT GIVEN THE SPOTTY NATURE OF THE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. IF A STORM AFFECTS THE BURN SITE...EXPECT RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO AVERAGE AROUND A HALF AN INCH...THOUGH SOME STRONGER STORMS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE PUT DOWN OVER AN INCH. THAT SAID...THERE IS PROBABLY A 60-70 PERCENT CHANCE THAT THE BURN SITE WILL BE AFFECTED OUTFLOW FROM STORMS IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. THESE WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY BE OUT OF THE NORTH/NORTHWEST AND COULD EXCEED 30MPH DEPENDING ON HOW CLOSE/STRONG A GIVEN STORM IS. FOR TONIGHT...STORMS SHOULD DIE OFF A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNSET WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. RAIN CHANCES OVERNIGHT ARE LOW...AROUND OR LESS THAN 20 PERCENT. ALSO EXPECT GOOD RH RECOVERIES TONIGHT WITH MAX RH LEVELS SUNDAY MORNING AROUND 90 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OR NEAR CALM. FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...EXPECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL BE GREATER ON SUN VERSUS TODAY...AND EVEN MORE SO ON MONDAY. PRECIP CHANCES FOR SUN ARE AROUND 50 PERCENT...THEN AROUND 60 PERCENT MONDAY. RAINFALL WILL STILL BE SCATTERED IN NATURE SO RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD VARY CONSIDERABLY. HOWEVER...IT LOOKS LIKE AMOUNTS COULD BE AROUND HALF AN INCH TOMORROW AND POSSIBLY AN INCH ON MONDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........95 AT REQUEST...MAX 94. RH..................40 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 40 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST AROUND 5 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 7300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TEMP............95 93 RH..............40 43 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 4 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.E E TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 75. RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............91 90 88 87 86 84 83 82 81 79 78 77 RH..............45 48 50 53 56 58 61 64 68 71 75 78 20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.W NW NW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 8 9 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 92. RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 1 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............75 74 77 79 82 85 87 90 90 91 91 90 RH..............82 87 80 75 69 62 55 50 48 48 47 50 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W SW SW S S SE S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 3 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW W W W W SW SW S S SE S EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW S SE SE S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 8 6 3 2 1 1 2 5 7 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...A DYER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120707.CADDO.01/LZK