FNUS74 KMAF 071939
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE CANYON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
239 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1321 MDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

.DISCUSSION...
THE PRIMARY MONSOONAL MOIST AXIS HAS SHIFTED WEST TODAY AND THUS
THE DECREASED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. SATELLITE AND RADAR
INDICATES THAT THE BUILD-UPS AROUND THE FIRE AREA ARE MINIMAL AND
ONLY A BRIEF SHOWER OR STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO MID EVENING.
GOOD RECOVERY TONIGHT BUT WARMER WITH LOWER RH/S SUNDAY WITH ANOTHER
MINIMAL DAY OF STORMS. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL AT GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH DURING THE PEAK DAYTIME HEATING. OF NOTE IS THE INCREASED
CHANCE OF RAIN MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS TIL MID EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61-64.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL MID EVENING
                    BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD       ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM       TSTORM       NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10            5
TEMP............81           72           68
RH..............38           48           57
20 FT WIND DIR..SE           SE           S
20 FT WIND SPD..6            6            8
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....7500         500          BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..SE           SE           SE
TRANS WIND SPD..10           5            5
VENT CAT........GOOD         POOR         POOR
LAL.............2            2            1
HAINES INDEX....4            4            4

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-31 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MID MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (63900 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                          ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         TSTORM
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           10
TEMP............62           74           87
RH..............75           45           29
20 FT WIND DIR..S            SE           E
20 FT WIND SPD..2            9            13
20 FT WIND GUST.                          15
MIX HGT (FT)....500          3000         10000
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           E            E
TRANS WIND SPD..2            6            6
VENT CAT........POOR         POOR         GOOD
LAL.............1            1            2
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

$$

FORECASTER...MURDOCH
REQUESTED BY...NM-LNF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120707.HORSE.01/MAF