FNUS72 KMFL 071155
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER HAMMOCK...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
755 AM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0717 EDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY WILL KEEP MOST AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE PENINSULA, KEEPING FAR
SOUTH MIAMI-DADE COUNTY MOSTLY DRY. MOISTURE INCREASING IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA MAY
LEAD TO A FEW SHOWERS THIS MORNING, BUT OVERALL EXPECT CONDITIONS
TO REMAIN MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AS MOISTURE FROM THE TROPICAL
WAVE AFFECTS SOUTH FLORIDA.

LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY, BECOME LIGHT
SOUTHEAST EARLY THIS EVENING AND LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST
OVERNIGHT. DAYTIME DISPERSION TODAY WILL BE IN THE GOOD RANGE,
THEN POOR OVERNIGHT AS TRANSPORT WINDS DECREASE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34 INCREASING TO 59.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........40     40     40     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....                     SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                     SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP............79     86     89     91     88     88
RH..............88     70     61     56     61     61
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 6    E 7    E 9    E 9    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     20     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   2600   4500   4500   4500   4500
MIXNG WIND......E 12   E 12   E 14   E 16   E 16   E 15
DISPERSION IDX..34     34     54     47     47     59
LVORI...........3      3      1      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     40
LAL.............1      1      1      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 2 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 DECREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 58 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 32 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...MOLLEDA
REQUESTED BY...CLAYTON CAMBLIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120707.DEERH.01/MFL