FNUS72 KMLB 071027
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAH FIRE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
627 AM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0616 EDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY AND LIGHT EARLY IN THE
PERIOD. A SHALLOW SURFACE BASED INVERSION FROM THE OVERNIGHT WILL TRAP
MOISTURE AND SMOKE NEAR THE SURFACE EARLY THIS MORNING. WHILE SIGNIFICANT
FOG DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...HIGH EARLY MORNING RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL PRODUCE POOR VISIBILITIES IN PROXIMITY TO
AREAS OF SMOKE.

SEA BREEZE COLLISIONS WILL AGAIN OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE
BURN AREA. WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHTNING STORMS WILL RESULT AND PERSIST INTO
THE EARLY EVENING. STEERING FLOW WILL BE WEAK/CHAOTIC DUE TO LIGHT WINDS
ALOFT. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY STRONG STORM.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............77  77  81  84  88  89  91  93  93  93  94  94
RH..............85  87  87  74  67  59  56  50  46  46  46  49
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   1   1   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............9.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                     MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120707.WAHFI.01/MLB