FNUS71 KLWX 081328 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR NEIGHBOR MOUNTAIN FIRE...RED TEAM - NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 928 AM EDT SUN JUL 8 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0624 EDT ON JULY 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC TODAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. THE FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO STALL OVER THE CAROLINAS EARLY IN THE WEEK. COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6100-7800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 7900-8900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 6700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH LATE. WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........15 21 26 31 36 41 47 52 54 55 57 59 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............76 79 81 83 85 87 89 90 92 92 92 92 RH..............82 74 69 65 61 57 54 50 47 47 47 47 20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 CWR.............0 0 10 10 10 10 40 40 40 60 60 60 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CWR.................70 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH. WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........61 64 82 86 79 77 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............90 84 79 76 74 72 RH..............52 67 74 79 79 79 20 FT WIND......N 5 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.............70 70 60 60 40 40 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100-4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 15 MPH. WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........77 77 77 76 75 75 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............72 71 73 75 75 75 RH..............73 79 73 66 64 66 20 FT WIND......N 4 N 3 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 5 CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 $$ FORECASTER...SCHOOR REQUESTED BY...MARK CLERE FBAN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120708.NEIGH.01/LWX