FNUS71 KLWX 082302
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR NEIGHBOR MOUNTAIN FIRE...USDI - NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
702 PM EDT SUN JUL 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1846 EDT ON JULY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL STALL TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. A WAVE OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL RIDE ALONG THE BOUNDARY...TRIGGERING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND T-STORMS ACROSS THE AREA. PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN THE TRAPPED VALLEYS.

ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LIKELY TRIGGER SHOWERS AND T-STORMS
MONDAY. THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................50 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-6000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 3 TO
                    12 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........71     67     76     74     71     75
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............83     82     80     78     76     74
RH..............65     72     72     74     74     74
20 FT WIND......N 5    NE 3   NE 3   NE 3   NE 3   N 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
CWR.............40     50     50     40     40     40

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...
                    THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING NORTHEAST. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-6300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........80     84     81     78     75     75
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............71     71     73     75     75     75
RH..............76     79     73     66     64     66
20 FT WIND......N 4    N 3    NE 5   NE 5   NE 5   NE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     5
CWR.............40     40     40     40     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...LASORSA
REQUESTED BY...JEFF KOENIG
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120708.NEIGH.02/LWX