FNUS75 KGJT 091401
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK...MONTROSE DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
801 AM MDT MON JUL 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0731 MDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL
RESULT IN NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN-DRIVEN EXCEPT NEAR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A DRYING AND WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED
THE FIRST HALF OF THIS WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY
                    (15-25%) UNTIL 1300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200
                    THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH BY 1200. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR BECOMING VERY GOOD
                    BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1600...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING 8000 FT AT 1200...AND TO
                    13000 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 MPH AT 1200...BECOMING NORTH NORTHEAST
                    12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60% UNTIL 2300...THEN 30%).
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...
                    THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLY 3-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR DECREASING TO POOR
                    BY 2300.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...IC SPENCER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120709.SHEEP.01/GJT