FNUS72 KJAX 090658 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR C-15...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 258 AM EDT MON JUL 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK SURFACE TROUGHING WILL CONTINUE JUST NORTH OF THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK...WITH A FAIRLY MOIST SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FLOW. A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO STAY ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES THIS WEEK. THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IS LOW TODAY...BUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM COULD NOT BE RULED OUT WITH AFTERNOON INSTABILITY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 58. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........16 15 18 22 25 25 25 25 25 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............81 86 91 94 96 97 96 95 93 RH..............78 66 58 50 46 43 42 41 42 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.5 3.2 4.0 4.6 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.6 8 10 10 9 8 9 10 10 LVORI...........4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 DISPERSION INDX.12 26 42 50 50 49 55 59 60 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO 1 TO 2 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....58 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........26 26 31 20 20 18 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP............91 85 80 77 75 73 RH..............46 56 73 85 94 100 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 6 W 6 SW 5 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST. MIX HGT (FT)....4500 3400 1800 1000 400 100 TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 12 SW 14 SW 10 SW 2 SW 1 LVORI...........1 3 3 5 7 10 DISPERSION INDX.60 6 7 6 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 10 10 0 LAL.............1 1 2 1 1 1 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 62. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LVORI...............5. $$ FORECASTER...STRUBLE REQUESTED BY...REGGIE FORCINE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120709.C15__.01/JAX