FNUS72 KMLB 101048
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR KP 3   4...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
648 AM EDT TUE JUL 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GOOD MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SOUTH AND EAST OF THE BURN SITE LATER THIS
MORNING. THE SCATTERED STORMS WILL MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH
NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH AND SHOULD APPROACH THE BURN SITE AS EARLY
AS LATE THIS MORNING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR A LIGHTNING STORM WILL
BE DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON WITH RAIN CHANCES DIMINISHING
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DANGEROUS
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY DOWNBURST WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY THIS MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............82  85  86  87  90  90  89  87  84  82  80  79
RH..............72  65  63  61  54  54  56  59  67  72  77  79
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   8   9   9   10  10  10  9   8   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  10  10              10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............6.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                    CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....39.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...PAUL MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120710.KP34_.01/MLB