FNUS73 KAPX 111159 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK RD...DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 759 AM EDT WED JUL 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JULY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT LAKES TODAY BRINGING WITH IT MODERATING TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION- FREE WEATHER. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE NEAR CRITICAL THRESHOLDS...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S. ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE WARM TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR CRITICAL VALUES...WINDS WILL NOT REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........76 AT IGNITION...MAX 83. RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800-7900 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (400). TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........11 17 30 37 32 24 15 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............76 78 80 81 83 83 82 RH..............43 39 36 34 32 31 32 20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW N N 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 3 2 2 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 SMOKE DISP......400 400 400 400 400 300 300 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52. RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 1 TO 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........11 6 1 1 1 8 8 8 10 10 10 13 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............82 81 78 73 67 61 58 55 54 53 52 52 RH..............33 35 42 51 65 81 86 90 86 86 89 93 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE E E SE S S S S SW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 87. RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 8 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........13 14 14 14 16 16 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............52 65 74 81 85 86 RH..............96 75 55 44 36 32 20 FT WIND......SW 1 SW 3 SW 5 SW 5 W 4 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 10 10 5 $$ FORECASTER...ANDREW SULLIVAN REQUESTED BY...RANDY MCKENZIE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120711.ELKRD.01/APX