FNUS75 KGJT 111515
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR KNOB...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
915 AM MDT WED JUL 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0822 MDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER WESTERN UTAH
UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. THEN THE HIGH WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY SHIFT
EAST. TRAPPED MOISTURE ROTATING AROUND THE HIGH WILL RESULT IN
SOME THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON...BUT STORMS WILL MAINLY FORM
OVER THE NEARBY HIGHER TERRAIN. THURSDAY LOOKS JUST A LITTLE DRIER
THAN TODAY. WINDS ALOFT REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT. THE SURFACE FLOW
WILL GENERALLY BE TERRAIN DRIVEN...EXCEPT DURING THE AFTERNOONS
WHEN THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS MAY DOMINATE AT TIMES.


.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%). AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS
                    POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000..THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY. INCREASING TO 5-10
                    MPH AND BECOMING MORE WESTERLY AFTER 1400.
                    GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS 10-20 MPH FROM
                    THUNDERSTORMS OVER NEARBY HIGHER TERRAIN MAY
                    DOMINATE SURFACE WINDS AT TIMES DURING THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN IMPROVING TO
                    VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO 14000
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%)...CLEARING OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........33-38%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING (10-20%)...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY. BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
                    FROM NEARBY CONVECTION MAY REACH THE FIRE SITE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN IMPROVING TO VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL IN THE EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 15000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...DEZARAE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120711.CEDAR.01/GJT