FNUS72 KJAX 111304 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUFF...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 904 AM EDT WED JUL 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1015 EDT ON JULY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE AREA WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. A RETURN TO MORE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY THIS MORNING THEN BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. WINDS THIS AFTERNOON ARE PREDICTED TO BECOME MORE SOUTHEAST DIRECTION AT 5 TO 10 MPH OVER THE BURN SITE. WE EXPECT SCATTERED TO POSSIBLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS AFTER 2 PM TODAY IN MARION COUNTY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........36 47 54 59 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 90 90 89 RH..............69 59 54 57 20 FT WIND......SE 3 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 3400 3700 3500 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7 SE 7 S 6 SE 5 DISPERSION INDX.4 27 25 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 30 50 50 LAL.............1 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........EAST 2 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....16 DECREASING TO 4 AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........59 65 60 57 57 53 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP............86 82 78 76 74 74 RH..............60 70 79 87 92 94 20 FT WIND......SE 6 E 3 E 3 E 2 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 2100 1400 900 600 400 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 5 E 5 E 8 E 9 E 7 E 3 LVORI...........2 3 4 5 6 6 DISPERSION INDX.17 14 16 5 4 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 10 10 10 LAL.............3 3 3 1 1 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...SHASHY REQUESTED BY...JOHN RAMSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120711.BLUFF.01/JAX