FNUS75 KPIH 112350
FWSPIH

SPOT FORECAST FOR FALCONBERRY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
550 PM MDT WED JUL 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1715 MDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THURSDAY WILL HAVE A BREAK IN THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY FOR THE SALMON-CHALLIS NF AS THE AIR BECOMES SLIGHTLY MORE
STABLE AND THE ATMOSPHERE MUCH LOWER IN MOISTURE CONTENT. LESS
CLOUD COVER WILL MEAN BETTER VENTILATION BUT GUSTIER WINDS AND
LOWER HUMIDITY COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY.  OVERNIGHT ON THURSDAY NIGHT,
INCREASING CLOUD COVER WILL MEAN POOR RECOVERY. ALSO, THE INCIDENT
WILL ACTUALLY BE ABOVE THE INVERSION LAYER.  THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT
RETURNS FRIDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS SHIFT TO MORE SOUTHERLY
AND BRING BACK THE MOIST UNSTABLE AIR.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR, BY 1400 BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........8500 FT ELEVATION...MAX 82.
RH..................8500 FT ELEVATION...MIN 12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH, BY 1000 BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                     1 TO 6 MPH GUSTS TO 10 MPH.  BY 1400 WIND
                     BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 8 MPH GUSTS TO 14 MPH.
                     BY 1800, WIND BECOMING WEST 2 TO 10 MPH GUSTS
                     TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................ZERO.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR, BY 0100 BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........8500 FT ELEVATION...MIN 65.
RH..................8500 FT ELEVATION...MAX 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 2 TO 10 MPH GUSTS TO 18 MPH, BY 2100
                     BECOMING NORTHWEST 1 TO 4 MPH.
CWR.................ZERO.
MIXING HEIGHT.......TOP OF INVERSION BELOW INCIDENT AT 7700 FT
                     ELEVATION.  MIXING HEIGHT 1700 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY, BY 1200 BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                     CHANCE OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  GUSTS TO
                     30 MPH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........8500 FT ELEVATION...MAX 78.
RH..................8500 FT ELEVATION...MIN 18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 1 TO 4 MPH, BY 1000 BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                     1 TO 6 MPH.  BY 1200, WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                     2 TO 8 MPH GUSTS TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................NEAR ZERO.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................6.

$$
FORECASTER...MESSICK
REQUESTED BY...KELSEY DEHONEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120711.FALCO.01/PIH