FNUS75 KBOU 122138 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ANDREWS GLACIER...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 338 PM MDT THU JUL 12 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING AND MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS. STORMS ARE EXHIBITING STORM MOTIONS AT 10 MPH OR LESS. SMALL HAIL...BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORMS. KEEP YOUR EYES TO THE NORTHWEST FOR DEVELOPING STORMS THAT WILL BE MOVING OVER THE PARK. SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING TO SEASONAL NORMALS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2000...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-48. MAX HUMIDITY........52-58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 2400. SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH AFTER 0300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1400...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-70. MIN HUMIDITY........18-24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-11 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 0-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11600-12600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42. MAX HUMIDITY........69%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0900...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61. MIN HUMIDITY........39%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7400-8400 FT AGL AFTER 1000. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ANDREWSGLACIER. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/12-15 63 21 4 66 25 E10 16 4 3 NW24 13652 NW 8 101821 V 07/12-16 63 21 4 67 25 E10 16 4 3 NW24 13119 NW 8 92182 G 07/12-17 63 21 4 66 26 NE 9 15 4 3 NW23 12585 NW 8 82543 G 07/12-18 63 21 4 65 27 N 8 13 4 3 NW21 12051 NW 7 72904 G 07/12-19 63 17 3 63 28 NE 7 7 4 3 NW20 9090 N 6 52940 F 07/12-20 63 17 3 60 30 E 6 6 4 3 NW20 6129 E 6 32976 P 07/12-21 48 17 3 56 34 E 6 6 4 3 NW18 3168 SE 5 13012 P 07/12-22 48 8 2 54 37 E 6 6 4 1 NW17 2191 SE 6 9096 P 07/12-23 48 8 2 52 39 E 7 7 4 1 N16 1214 SE 6 5180 P 07/13-00 15 4 1 51 42 E 7 7 4 1 N15 237 SE 6 1263 P 07/13-01 15 4 1 50 45 SE 7 7 4 1 N14 233 SE 7 1358 P 07/13-02 15 4 1 48 47 S 8 13 4 1 N13 229 S 7 1453 P 07/13-03 15 4 1 47 50 SW 8 13 4 1 N12 226 SW 8 1548 P 07/13-04 15 4 1 46 54 SW 8 13 4 1 N10 224 SW 8 1529 P 07/13-05 15 4 1 46 54 SW 8 13 4 1 N 9 222 SW 8 1510 P 07/13-06 29 9 2 46 53 SW 8 13 4 1 NE 7 220 SW 8 1491 P 07/13-07 29 9 2 48 46 SW 8 14 4 1 N 5 2177 W 6 2733 P 07/13-08 29 9 2 53 35 W 9 14 4 1 N 3 4135 NW 3 3975 P 07/13-09 46 9 2 57 28 W 9 15 4 1 N 2 6092 CALM 5217 P 07/13-10 46 9 2 61 23 SW 9 15 4 1 N 2 8121 N 2 19859 P 07/13-11 46 17 3 63 20 S 9 15 4 3 W 2 10151 E 3 34502 P 07/13-12 62 17 3 65 20 SE 9 15 4 3 W 5 12180 SE 5 49145 F 07/13-13 62 17 3 66 20 SE10 16 4 3 W 7 12374 SE 6 57722 F 07/13-14 62 40 18 67 21 SE10 16 4 4 SW 9 12567 S 6 66299 G 07/13-15 67 40 18 67 22 SE10 16 4 4 SW12 12761 S 7 74876 G 07/13-16 67 40 18 68 23 SE 9 14 4 4 SW12 12340 S 8 80763 G 07/13-17 67 40 18 67 26 SE 7 7 4 4 SW 9 11920 S 8 86650 G 07/13-18 73 34 13 66 28 SE 6 6 4 4 SW 8 11499 S 9 92537 G 07/13-19 73 34 13 64 32 SE 6 6 4 4 SW 8 9083 S 9 73281 G 07/13-20 73 34 13 60 37 S 7 7 4 4 SW 8 6667 S 9 54024 F 07/13-21 73 21 4 55 45 S 7 7 4 3 SW 9 4251 S 9 34768 P 07/13-22 73 21 4 52 50 S 7 7 4 3 SW13 2940 S 8 23740 P 07/13-23 73 21 4 51 52 SE 7 7 3 3 S15 1630 SE 7 12712 P 07/14-00 63 15 3 49 55 SE 7 7 3 3 S17 320 SE 6 1684 P 07/14-01 63 15 3 48 58 SE 7 7 3 3 S18 332 SE 6 1828 P 07/14-02 63 15 3 46 61 SE 7 7 4 3 SW17 344 SE 7 1973 P 07/14-03 63 10 2 45 65 SE 7 7 4 2 SW16 356 SE 7 2117 P 07/14-04 63 10 2 43 69 S 7 7 4 2 SW14 340 S 6 1846 P 07/14-05 63 10 2 43 69 S 6 6 3 2 SW13 325 S 6 1575 P 07/14-06 78 16 3 44 68 S 6 6 3 3 SW12 309 S 5 1304 P 07/14-07 78 16 3 46 63 S 6 6 3 3 SW12 1596 S 6 10670 P 07/14-08 78 16 3 48 57 SW 6 6 4 3 SW10 2883 SW 7 20037 P 07/14-09 73 41 18 52 50 SW 7 7 4 4 W10 4170 SW 8 29403 P 07/14-10 73 41 18 55 44 S 8 8 4 4 SW12 5455 SW 9 42222 F 07/14-11 73 41 18 57 41 S 8 14 3 4 SW14 6740 S 9 55041 F 07/14-12 82 48 24 59 40 S 9 15 3 4 SW15 8024 S 9 67860 G 07/14-13 82 48 24 60 39 S10 16 3 4 SW17 8214 S12 78577 G 07/14-14 82 48 24 60 39 S10 16 3 4 SW18 8403 S13 89293 G 07/14-15 82 48 24 61 40 S10 16 3 4 SW18 8593 S14 100009 V 07/14-16 82 48 24 61 41 S 9 15 3 4 SW18 8163 S14 98083 G 07/14-17 82 48 24 60 43 S 9 14 3 4 SW17 7734 S14 96156 G 07/14-18 80 44 21 59 46 S 8 13 3 4 SW17 7305 SW15 94229 G 07/14-19 80 44 21 58 48 S 8 13 3 4 SW17 4979 S13 63735 G 07/14-20 80 44 21 55 53 S 8 14 4 4 SW18 2654 S12 33242 P 07/14-21 80 44 21 51 59 S 9 15 4 4 SW20 328 S 9 2749 P 07/14-22 80 44 21 49 64 S10 17 4 4 SW21 327 S10 3030 P 07/14-23 80 44 21 48 66 S12 20 4 4 SW21 325 SW12 3311 P 07/15-00 68 17 3 47 69 SW13 21 4 3 SW22 323 SW13 3591 P 07/15-01 68 17 3 45 71 SW12 18 4 3 SW22 315 SW13 3326 P 07/15-02 68 17 3 44 72 SW10 16 3 3 SW22 306 SW12 3060 P 07/15-03 68 17 3 43 75 SW 9 15 3 3 SW21 298 SW10 2794 P 07/15-04 68 17 3 42 78 SW 9 15 3 3 SW20 278 SW10 2624 P 07/15-05 68 17 3 42 78 W10 17 4 3 SW18 258 W12 2454 P 07/15-06 62 22 4 42 77 W12 18 4 3 SW17 238 W12 2284 P 07/15-07 62 22 4 44 72 W12 18 4 3 SW17 344 W12 3275 P 07/15-08 62 22 4 48 62 W12 18 4 3 SW17 450 W10 4267 P 07/15-09 62 46 23 52 53 W12 18 4 4 SW18 557 W10 5259 P 07/15-10 62 46 23 55 47 W13 20 4 4 SW18 1902 W13 24467 P 07/15-11 62 46 23 57 43 W14 22 3 4 SW17 3248 W14 43675 F 07/15-12 78 38 16 59 41 W15 24 3 4 SW17 4594 W16 62883 G 07/15-13 78 38 16 60 40 W16 25 3 4 SW17 5413 W17 81837 G 07/15-14 78 38 16 60 40 SW16 26 3 4 SW17 6232 W18 100791 V 07/15-15 78 38 16 61 41 SW16 25 3 4 SW18 7051 W20 119744 V 07/15-16 78 38 16 61 41 SW14 23 3 4 SW18 5695 W18 92353 G 07/15-17 78 38 16 60 42 SW12 18 3 4 SW18 4339 SW16 64962 G 07/15-18 70 37 15 59 44 SW 9 15 3 4 SW18 2983 SW15 37571 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RICH BROWNE REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20120712.ANDRE.01/BOU