FNUS75 KGJT 121655
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR KNOB...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1055 AM MDT THU JUL 12 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1027 MDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE BROUGHT CLOUDS TO THE BURN AREA
THIS MORNING. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE BY NOON AS THE DISTURBANCE
PASSES BUT THEN REDEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON HEAT AND INSTABILITY.
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DRIFT OFF THE UINTA MOUNTAINS INTO
NORTHWEST COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON BUT ARE CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED
TO REACH THE FIRE SITE. MOISTURE INCREASES ON FRIDAY FOR A BETTER
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A MONSOONAL SURGE OF MOISTURE
IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70%) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 4-7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 16500 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50% DECREASING TO 30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-57 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR BY 2200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    2-5 MPH AFTER 2200.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-6 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS GREEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120712.CEDAR.01/GJT