FNUS75 KGJT 121550
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COLD...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
950 AM MDT THU JUL 12 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0915 MDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NOT MUCH CHANGE IS EXPECTED TODAY. CLOUDS WILL
DECREASE THIS MORNING BEHIND A WEAK DISTURBANCE...BUT THEN
REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON FROM HEATING AND INSTABILITY. THE AIR IS
DRY ENOUGH THAT A MIX OF WET AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY. BE
PREPARED FOR STRONG OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS FROM STORMS. MOISTURE
INCREASES FRIDAY AS THE GREAT BASIN RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD OVER
COLORADO. A SURGE OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. SOME STORMS MAY BE DRY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-88 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 1-2M MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH BY 1100.
                    AFTER 1300...SOUTH 7-10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS UP TO 30 MPH
                    POSSIBLE FROM THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 17000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE TO WEST 2-4 UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST
                    NORTHWEST 11 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. SOME STORMS MAY
                    DRY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........43-51%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5-10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD  UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR DECREASING TO POOR
                    BY 2200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    1-3 MPH AFTER 2200.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH. AFTER 1200...
                    SOUTHWEST 7-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO
                    VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN VARIABLE
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 MPH BY 1300.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...COLD IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120712.COLD_.01/GJT