FNUS75 KMSO 131023
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR PONY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
423 AM MDT FRI JUL 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2209 MDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

CHANCES OF WETTING RAIN WILL INCREASE TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS
THE WILDFIRE AREA. WET THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE PRESENT BOTH
DAY AND NIGHT DURING THIS TIME. WINDS MAY BECOME ERRATIC AND GUSTY
FOR A TIME NEAR THUNDERSTORM CELLS...HOWEVER THESE WINDS ARE LIKELY
TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASED HUMIDITY. ONE BIG CONCERN THROUGH
SATURDAY WILL BE MUDSLIDES DEVELOPING FROM EXCESSIVE THUNDERSTORM
RAINFALL ON PREVIOUSLY BURNED SLOPES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. ERRATIC WINDS GUSTING TO
                    15 MPH IN THE PRESENCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...ZUMPFE
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN WHITE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120712.PONY_.02/MSO