FNUS72 KMLB 131311
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR LBE STATE FOREST...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
911 AM EDT FRI JUL 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
WILL SLIDE WESTWARD TODAY AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
KEEPS A EAST TO SOUTHEAST TRANSPORT WIND IN PLACE. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE BURN SITE TODAY BEHIND THIS TROUGH FOR SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TO OCCUR THROUGH MID AFTERNOON AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
MOVES INLAND. RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL DECREASE AS MOISTURE DECREASES
SATURDAY...BUT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN
ON SUNDAY AS A DEEPER PLUME OF MOISTURE WORKS INTO THE AREA. ONSHORE FLOW WILL
KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 15 TO 16 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1600...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............83  86  87  88  89  89  88  88  86  84  82  81
RH..............69  62  59  56  54  54  55  54  59  65  70  72
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE
20 FT WIND SPD..12  12  13  13  14  16  16  18  17  16  14  10
20 FT WIND GUST.    15  15  15  20  20  20  25  25  20  15

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2700-3600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............4.

.SATURDAY...

CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-5000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....58.
LVORI...............1.

$$
FORECASTER...GUSEMAN
REQUESTED BY...JOHN KERN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120713.LBEST.01/MLB