FNUS75 KMSO 131508
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOWARD CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
908 AM MDT FRI JUL 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0821 MDT ON JULY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN UNDER SHOWERS TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF APPROACHING WEATHER
SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP NEAR
THE FIRE TODAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL MAINLY HAVE
WINDS WITH THEM. HOWEVER STORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE HEAVY RAIN PRODUCERS. TIMING FOR
STRONGER/WETTER STORMS IS FROM 1600-2000 MDT TODAY. A BREAK
OVERNIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN MOVES IN FOR SATURDAY. IF
FIRE DOES SEE SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...RECOVERIES WILL
BE GOOD TONIGHT. AMPLE CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL RESULT IN MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES FOR SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND CHANCE OF AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...TERESA SAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120713.HOWAR.01/MSO