FNUS75 KPUB 130958
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALDO CANYON...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
358 AM MDT FRI JUL 13 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE WEATHER TODAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER THE BURN SCAR DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE BRIEF MODERATE RAINFALL WITH RATES OF UP TO .50 INCH IN 30
MINUTES...ALONG WITH LIGHTNING...AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH. HOWEVER...
GIVEN THE HIGHLY LOCALIZED NATURE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...RAINFALL
ON THE BURN SCAR WILL MOST LIKELY REMAIN BELOW .25.

MONSOON MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY
WHICH WILL LEAD TO A SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND MORE SO INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER RAINFALL TO IMPACT THE BURN SCAR.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY SUNNY(57
                    PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    EAST SOUTHEAST 8-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0700. 10000 FT AGL
                    BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(57 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200...THEN SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST 10-18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10000 FT AGL AFTER 0800.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. BECOMING VERY GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120713.WALDO.01/PUB