FNUS75 KSLC 130818
FWSSLC

SPOT FORECAST FOR LUCKY 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
218 AM MDT FRI JUL 13 2012

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE NEVADA-UTAH BORDER WILL
MOVE EASTWARD EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW A WEAK
DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OVER EAST CENTRAL NEVADA TO MOVE NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE FIRE LATE TONIGHT AFTER ABOUT 0500-0700 MDT TIME FRAME. GUSTY SOUTH
SOUTHEAST WIND OF 20 TO 25 MPH ARE CURRENTLY BEING OBSERVED OVER
THE DUGWAY MESONET SITES DUE TO SHOWERS SOUTH OF THAT AREA. IN
ADDITION...WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH ARE OCCURRING OVER NORTHEAST
NEVADA IN ADVANCE OF SHOWERS MOVING NORTHWARD. THESE SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE SHOWERS OVER WESTERN UTAH AND SPREAD
ACROSS YOUR FIRE FROM BETWEEN 0500 AND 0700 UNTIL ABOUT 1100 MDT.
THE SOUTHERLY WINDS COULD EASILY REACH THE FIRE A COUPLE OF HOURS
PRIOR TO THE ACTUAL SHOWERS. RAIN AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT
WITH THIS INITIAL SURGE.

ALTHOUGH LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE THE INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY BE
SUPPRESSED FRIDAY AS AN EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED.
CONSEQUENTLY...MAINLY SHOWERS AND STRATIFORM RAIN ARE MORE LIKELY
THAN THUNDERSTORMS. A BREAK IN THE THREAT OF SHOWERS WILL LIKELY
OCCUR LATE FRIDAY MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON...BUT WETTING RAINS
ARE LIKELY TO SPREAD BACK IN ACROSS THE FIRE IN THE MID AFTERNOON
HOURS AND POSSIBLY THROUGH MOST OF FRIDAY NIGHT. RAIN AMOUNTS OF
0.10 TO 0.40 OF AN INCH ARE FORECAST FOR THAT AREA OF UTAH.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
 LAL.................1.
 HAINES INDEX........5 ..MODERATE.
 SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-100 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A
                     CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 0500.
 MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-68.
 MAX HUMIDITY........36-38 PERCENT.
 WINDS - 20-FOOT.....SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE
                     MORNING OUT OF THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST.

.FRIDAY...
  LAL.................2.
  HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A
                      SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 1000 MDT. A SLIGHT
                      CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                      AFTER NOON.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....90.
  MIN HUMIDITY........25-32 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO
                      10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                      AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15
                      MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

.OUTLOOK FOR SATURDAY...
  LAL.................4.
  HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A
                      CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. A
                      CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                      IN THE AFTERNOON.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
  MIN HUMIDITY........34-38 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.



FORECASTER...STRUTHWOLF
REQUESTED BY...DAREN TURNER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120713.LUCKY.01/SLC

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