FNUS75 KTFX 132306
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW PASS...USFS - GREAT FALLS DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
506 PM MDT FRI JUL 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1705 MDT ON JULY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
APPROACHES THE BURN AREA. MODELS STILL PROG BETWEEN 0.30 AND 0.60
INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY ON THE BURN AREA.
COOLER AND SHOWER CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY. A FEW SHOWERS
SUNDAY...BUT THEN A SLOW WARMING/DRYING TREND BEGINS MONDAY AND
CONTINUES FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. BRUSDA

.REST OF TODAY...THROUGH 6 PM.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY...WITH NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................80 PERCENT...ABOUT 0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES EXPECTED.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................85 PERCENT...ABOUT 0.20 TO 0.30 INCHES EXPECTED.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO WEST
                    TOWARDS EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO
                    THE WEST/NORTHWEST AROUND MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHERLY AROUND 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRUSDA
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS S COLLIER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120713.ELBOW.02/TFX