FNUS75 KBYZ 141846
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY HEAD CREEK...CROW FIRE & AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
1246 PM MDT SAT JUL 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1230 MDT ON JULY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS THIS EVENING. THE STORMS WILL BE WET WITH GUSTY
WINDS AND QUITE A BIT OF LIGHTNING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS
EXPECTED WITH THE STORMS TOO. CLOUDS AROUND SHOULD HELP TO KEEP
HUMIDITIES ABOVE 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOW UPSLOPE TENDENCIES. A WIND SHIFT TO THE
WEST WILL COME THROUGH THE SITE LATE AFTERNOON OR TOWARD EVENING.
SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND
HUMIDITIES IN THE MID 20S. WINDS WILL START DOWNSLOPE IN THE
MORNING BUT BECOME ERRATIC IN THE AFTERNOON THEY TRY TO TURN
UPSLOPE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN.
THE STORMS WILL BE WET WITH GUSTY WINDS. TWH


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING.
CWR.................27 PERCENT.
LAL.................4...16 TO 25 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE. WINDS BECOMING WEST TO
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 12 MPH LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    THIS EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................34 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 4 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 12 MPH IN THE MORNING. WIND
                    BECOMING ERRATIC IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HUMPHREY
REQUESTED BY...BRYCE ROGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120714.DRYHE.01/BYZ